Forge Creek, VIC 3875 Crime Rate: Is it safe?

According to the Crime Statistics Agency (CSA) Victoria, Forge Creek crime rate for the year ending June 2022 was 7872 incidents per 100,000 population. This represents a 170% increase from the previous year.

Forge Creek Crime Index

55

(100 is safest)

Safer than 55% of most Australia suburbs

Forge Creek Crime Map

Is Forge Creek Safe?

Forge Creek has low safety metrics. Crime rates in Forge Creek are about average for most suburbs and neighborhoods in Australia. Forge Creek is safer than 55% of all Australian suburbs and than 22% of Victoria suburbs. However, breach family violence order is a common offence in Forge Creek.

Forge Creek Crime Statistics at a Glance

Has Crime in Forge Creek increased or decreased in the past 5 years? The chart below shows the 60-month historical trend of the number of offences that occurred in Forge Creek.

• The number of criminal incidents recorded by Victoria Police in the year 2022 was 27, up 170% from 10 incidents recorded in the same period last year.

• Forge Creek is in the 22nd percentile for safety, meaning 78% of Victoria suburbs are safer than Forge Creek and 22% of suburbs are more dangerous than Forge Creek.

• Common crime: breach family violence order.

• There was no change in the number of assault offences recorded during the years 2021 and 2022.

• There were no deception offences recorded during the years 2021 and 2022.

• The number of burglary offences recorded in 2022 increased by 200% (4 Incidents) compared to the previous year.

• There was no change in the number of theft offences recorded during the years 2021 and 2022.

• The number of robbery offences recorded in 2022 increased by 100% (1 Incidents) compared to the previous year.

• The number of motor vehicle thefts recorded in 2022 increased by 100% (1 Incidents) compared to the previous year.

• The number of vandalism offences (Property damage) recorded in 2022 increased by 200% (2 Incidents) compared to the previous year.

Crime in Forge Creek: An In-Depth Analysis

According to AU Crime Rate’s analysis of the latest crime statistics from the Crime Statistics Agency (CSA) Victoria, Forge Creek is ranked safer than 55% of the suburbs across Australia, regardless of population size. That means that Forge Creek crime rate is about average for most suburbs and neighborhoods in Australia.

In Victoria, only about 78% of suburbs have a lower crime rate than Forge Creek. As a result, Forge Creek has low scores in public safety metrics.

If you are a resident of Forge Creek, your chance of becoming a victim of crime is 1 in 19 (based on the total crime rate of crimes against the person and property combined) while the Victoria average is 1 in 19.

Let’s take a closer look at Forge Creek’s crime statistics and see how it fares in terms of crimes against person and property crimes. This information is crucial because it can shed light on whether violent or property crimes or both, are the primary factors driving Forge Creek’s overall crime rate. So, are you curious to learn more about Forge Creek’s crime data and what they reveal about the suburb’s safety and security? Let’s dive in!

AU Crime Rate’s analysis reveals that against the person crime rate in Forge Creek is 1166 per one hundred thousand inhabitants while the Victoria average rate is 1247. So, one’s chances of becoming a victim of crimes against the person in Forge Creek is 1 in 85. The crimes against the person included in this analysis are homicide, assault, robbery, dangerous and negligent acts endangering people, stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour.

From our analysis, we discovered that your odds of becoming a victim of a property crime if you live in Forge Creek is 1 in 25. This is equal to a rate of 3790 per one hundred thousand residents compared to a rate of 3580 per 100,000 residents for Victoria state. It’s worth mentioning that the property crimes tracked here include theft, burglary, arson, deception, bribery and damage to property.

Want to understand criminal offences in Victoria and make sense of crime data? Our easy-to-understand crime glossary provides definitions for Victoria’s common criminal offences. Check it out and get the inside scoop on crime in Victoria!

Forge Creek Crime Rates by Offences Division

Forge Creek Crimes Against the Person

These are violent crimes against people whether these are family violence or non-family violence. Basically, if someone does something to hurt or scare another person, it’s considered a crime against the person. This includes:

• Assault and related offences: There are different types of assault, like serious assault, which is when someone causes really serious injuries as a result of a physical attack, and assault on police, emergency services or other authorised officers, which is when someone attacks a cop or a paramedic or someone doing their job. There’s also common assault, which is like when someone threatens to punch you or makes you feel scared for your safety.
• Robbery: There are two types of robbery or mugging: aggravated and non-aggravated. Aggravated robbery is when someone uses a weapon like a knife or a firearm (armed robbery) or causes serious harm to the victim during the robbery, like hitting them with a bat or a gun. Non-aggravated robbery is when someone doesn’t use a weapon or cause serious harm during the robbery but still uses force or the threat of force to take something from the victim.
• Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people: These refer to behaviours or actions that put others at risk of harm or injury due to carelessness or recklessness. Examples of dangerous and negligent acts include driving under the influence of drugs or alcohol, not properly securing a load on a vehicle that could fall and cause an accident, leaving hazardous materials unattended, and failing to maintain a property in a safe condition.
• Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour: This represents harassing or threatening someone based on their race, skin colour, ethnicity, gender, sexual orientation, religion, or disability, in what’s known as hate crimes. It also includes insulting someone, cyberbullying, and cyberstalking.

My Chances of Becoming a Victim of a Crime Against the Person

Crimes Against the Person Comparison (Per 100,000 Residents)

Crimes Against the Person: Forge Creek vs Victoria

It’s important to note that the crime rates for sexual offences and homicide are not included in the previously mentioned data for Forge Creek. Here is Victoria’s total data for these offences can be used as a benchmark for comparison.

Forge Creek Property and Deception Offences

These are crimes related to stealing or damaging property or deceiving someone for personal gain. Property crimes include:

• Theft: It can be committed in various forms such as shoplifting, stealing from a person’s home, or taking a vehicle without permission. Other examples include stealing a bicycle, snatching a purse, or taking items from an unattended bag.
• Burglary (unlawful entry): Aggravated and non-aggravated burglaries are examples of burglary. Aggravated burglary involves the use of weapons, threats, or violence during the break-in, while non-aggravated burglary does not involve such factors.
• Arson: Arson is a criminal act of intentionally setting fire to a property, building, or forest (bushfire)  without lawful or justifiable reason.
• Property damage: This refers to intentional or accidental harm caused to someone else’s property, such as vandalism, or graffiti.
• Deception: This is a broad category of offences that includes various examples. These include forgery and counterfeiting, deceptive business practices, professional malpractice and misrepresentation, and other similar offences. Additionally, it includes obtaining benefits by deception, possessing equipment to make a false instrument, and stating false information. All of these crimes involve intentionally deceiving others for personal gain or causing harm to others through fraudulent means.
• Bribery: Sneaky shortcut to get ahead by taking advantage of someone’s position or power.

My Chances of Becoming a Victim of Property and Deception Offences

Property and Deception Offences Comparison (Per 100,000 Residents)

Property and Deception Offences: Forge Creek vs Victoria, Australia

Here is a breakdown of Forge Creek crime rate and offences count for the major property and deception offences.

Drug Offences

Drug offences are illegal activities involving drugs like possession, trafficking, and manufacturing. It can involve both illicit and legal drugs like prescription medicines used improperly.

Drug Offences Comparison (Per 100,000 Residents)

Drug Offences: Forge Creek vs Victoria

Public Order and Security Offences

Public order and security offences refer to crimes that threaten the safety and security of the community, such as disorderly conduct, possession of illegal weapons, public intoxication, and disturbing the peace. These offences can also include crimes that disrupt the functioning of society, like rioting, protesting without a permit, and obstructing traffic.

Public Order and Security Offences Comparison (Per 100,000 Residents)

Public Order and Security Offences: Forge Creek vs Victoria

Forge Creek Crimes per Square KM

What’s the most common crime in Forge Creek?

According to the latest available data from the Crime Statistics Agency of Victoria (CSA), the most common type of crime in Forge Creek is breach family violence order.

What is the crime rate in Forge Creek?

The overall crime rate in Forge Creek, as measured by the number of reported offences per 100,000 population was 7872 in the year ending June 2022.

However, it’s important to note that this is an aggregate figure that includes all types of crime, and some types of offences are more prevalent than others. Additionally, crime rates can vary by location, with some areas experiencing higher rates of certain types of crime than others.

Is Forge Creek a safe place to live in?

Forge Creek is safer than 55% of suburbs across Australia and the crime rates are about average for most suburbs and neighborhoods in Australia. Compared to Victoria suburbs, Forge Creek is safer than 22% of other suburbs in the state which are considered low safety scores in Victoria.

Total Crime Stats of Forge Creek

Note: This article doesn’t have detailed data for family violence, victims, female offenders, reoffending, sexual offences, stalking, and youth crime. For more information about these topics, check our resources page.

References

• Crime Statistics Agency (CSA) Victoria
• Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Census QuickStats for all persons
• Victoria Police